CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49bda89cc1e84349c2792b8bacd105a1911a1c7ba3f6e2a74811ae0218259e95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof AM Gaming, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Brute | 66c | 1,486$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Brute | 50c | 1,077$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.24 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked AM Gaming | 67c | 882.97$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.52 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed AM Gaming | 60c | 795.11$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.36 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 32c | 694.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Brute | 40c | 512.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed AM Gaming | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Brute | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Brute | 69c | 351.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AM Gaming | 45c | 341.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed AM Gaming | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked AM Gaming | 35c | 280.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Brute | 75c | 256.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Brute | 56c | 191.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AM Gaming | 46c | 189$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed AM Gaming | 23c | 177.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked Brute | 41c | 170.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed AM Gaming | 62c | 155.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Brute | 69c | 143.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 135 | 68.9%93 W · 42 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed Brute | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked AM Gaming | 35c | 128.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed AM Gaming | 12c | 121.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Brute | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Brute | 65c | 95.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked AM Gaming | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed AM Gaming | 37c | 81.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Brute | 38c | 81.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed AM Gaming | 24c | 74.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked AM Gaming | 24c | 68.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Brute | 38c | 60.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Brute | 61c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed AM Gaming | 38c | 50.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked AM Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Brute | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed AM Gaming | 62c | 41.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Brute | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed AM Gaming | 62c | 40.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Brute | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Brute | 39c | 29.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…bc74backed Brute | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Brute | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StageBrute won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerBrute won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AM (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)Brute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.