Australian A League · resolved market
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ebc704767b899afdc6e4d41bc9d69803122e96d33bab6e7916ed57e18214eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 651.27$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.15 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 642.71$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.45 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 65c | 599.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 60c | 482.31$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed No | 39c | 396.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…1ab8backed No | 36c | 366.61$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Yes | 57c | 352.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 57c | 236.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 172.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 171.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 79c | 125.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 37c | 120.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 105.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 60c | 100.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 35c | 100.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Yes | 64c | 94.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Yes | 64c | 94.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Yes | 64c | 91.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Yes | 64c | 86.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 65c | 82.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…6659backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 67c | 76.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 58c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…856dbacked Yes | 76c | 63.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 30c | 36.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 63c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 71c | 31.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…d769backed Yes | 45c | 26.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-1.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.