Australian A League · resolved market
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b5398a17661de507319959a33a533431638f507c8be8a9b6a5085d9dcdeda9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 48c | 82,528$39,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,986.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 54c | 45,853$24,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,092.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 13,205$7,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,156.81 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 43c | 8,875$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 44c | 5,037$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.65 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 2,544$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.31 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 2,211$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.06 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 2,120$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.71 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Under | 52c | 2,100$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +246.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.44 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…71d6backed Over | 47c | 1,682$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 52c | 1,155$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 46c | 1,082$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.91 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 22c | 955$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Under | 54c | 707.41$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…0e59backed Under | 48c | 626.49$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 55c | 619.98$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 57c | 525$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.13 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 519.64$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 52c | 499.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 49c | 473.45$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.46 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 432.15$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…8bfbbacked Under | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Under | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 345.47$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…3293backed Under | 59c | 337.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 46c | 259.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 45c | 237.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Under | 79c | 236.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afb…536abacked Under | 79c | 236$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…0a74backed Under | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 199.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 78c | 177.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 60c | 175.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 54c | 168$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 40c | 167.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 63c | 160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 44c | 159.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 56c | 152.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Over | 64c | 150.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 54c | 145$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 54c | 137$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Over | 53c | 128.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 41c | 120.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 54c | 114.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Under | 54c | 97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 79c | 93.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…6659backed Over | 54c | 91.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 34c | 89.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 54c | 87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 48c | 85.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfac…b532backed Over | 62c | 80.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Over | 21c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 44c | 68.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Over | 22c | 65.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…51acbacked Under | 80c | 54.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 49c | 49.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 63c | 47.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 39c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…8f5dbacked Under | 41c | 33.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd07b…d079backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed Under | 57c | 23.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Under | 54c | 23.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Under | 51c | 22.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 51c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked Over | 71c | 18.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 78c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-1.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.