Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12dcd5b9b64d3e0a5be6ed72de450c36b6592da0c6a76906ef44ea1f0b0ca8d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 8,959$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.55 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 5,320$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.13 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 3,925$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Aurora | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.65 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Aurora | 71c | 2,185$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.4 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Aurora | 70c | 2,151$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Aurora | 71c | 2,128$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.14 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 1,999$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.3 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora | 74c | 1,698$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.51 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,551$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Aurora | 79c | 1,331$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.09 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Aurora | 68c | 1,026$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.44 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Aurora | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…a935backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 1,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 806.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Aurora | 70c | 765.08$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 708.07$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Aurora | 73c | 699.99$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 699.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 531.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…4b3fbacked Aurora | 70c | 451.71$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 399.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed Aurora | 71c | 384.35$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 384.21$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 359.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Nigma Galaxy | 4c | 329.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Aurora | 71c | 325$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 318.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Aurora | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Aurora | 70c | 299.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 248$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Aurora | 67c | 236.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Aurora | 71c | 234.69$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 72c | 232.12$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 222.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 218.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Aurora | 69c | 200.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Aurora | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 195.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 173.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Aurora | 71c | 137$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 128.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4743…b3c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…d899backed Aurora | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Aurora | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora | 72c | 99.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 96.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 95.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Aurora | 69c | 94.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 89.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Aurora | 75c | 79.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 74.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 73.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Aurora | 70c | 71.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 70.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed Aurora | 71c | 70.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 69.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Aurora | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…b5fbbacked Aurora | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Aurora | 70c | 57.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 57.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 55.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77a…f876backed Aurora | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Aurora | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…3ac2backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…8b04backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Aurora | 73c | 49.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Aurora | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…dd8bbacked Aurora | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…5bf9backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Aurora | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Aurora | 76c | 36.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Aurora | 73c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed Aurora | 69c | 28.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Aurora | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…02efbacked Aurora | 70c | 24.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 80c | 22.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Aurora | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Aurora | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Aurora | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Aurora | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.