TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$569,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,513 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x92eb…f3f0backed Over47c11,637$5,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,167.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+64.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b48…11ecbacked Over47c11,076$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,870.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c10,993$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,096.579,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e8…74dabacked Under53c10,877$5,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,764.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…9b83backed Over47c10,642$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,640.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde03…01bebacked Over47c10,494$4,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,561.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6d5…c97dbacked Over47c10,390$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,506.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b9…25f3backed Over47c10,339$4,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,479.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83e…a7d7backed Over47c10,317$4,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,468.014100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd12…6d68backed Over47c10,158$4,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,383.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c6…bef3backed Over47c10,079$4,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,341.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+72.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce2f…81fcbacked Over47c10,025$4,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,313.254100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0041…61cebacked Over47c9,857$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,224.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b83…3fe0backed Under53c9,789$5,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,188.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9374…0edbbacked Under53c9,634$5,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,106.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed77…c42dbacked Over47c9,617$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,097.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3035…9fccbacked Over47c9,471$4,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,019.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x232d…b66fbacked Over47c9,441$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,003.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…2022backed Under53c9,423$4,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0092…97d5backed Over47c9,402$4,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,983.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf0…8d4abacked Under53c9,385$4,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,974.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128b…4b40backed Over47c9,258$4,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,906.74785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick42cpaid+76.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0009…7fc9backed Over47c9,202$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,877.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d2…22fcbacked Over47c9,176$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,863.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c28…80a6backed Over47c9,091$4,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,818.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcebf…d903backed Under53c9,091$4,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,818.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad4…25e6backed Over47c9,059$4,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,801.274100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fa7…76b9backed Under53c9,052$4,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c83…5fc6backed Under53c9,046$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,794.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f26…d2d7backed Under53c9,017$4,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,779.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab19…0c0ebacked Under53c9,002$4,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,771.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bf…e7c1backed Under53c8,970$4,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,754.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ebc…0970backed Under53c8,930$4,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,732.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ec…e112backed Over47c8,925$4,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,730.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f7…b70fbacked Under53c8,803$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,665.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6489…5460backed Under53c8,730$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fa…fee1backed Under53c8,658$4,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,588.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd725…bd22backed Over47c8,636$4,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,577.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b38…68cfbacked Under53c8,575$4,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,544.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5cf…b0aebacked Under53c8,528$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,519.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f27…5025backed Under53c8,513$4,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…c8c3backed Under53c8,419$4,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,462.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b9…985abacked Over47c8,349$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,424.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffb…3d68backed Under53c8,345$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,422.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39e4…2c96backed Under53c8,340$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under55c8,278$4,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,512.9921250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa310…7cdebacked Under53c8,261$4,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,378.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0dc…33d1backed Under53c8,256$4,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,375.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce76…9598backed Under53c8,164$4,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,326.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf364…8957backed Under53c8,117$4,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,302.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d4b…be55backed Under53c7,859$4,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,165.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8daf…7ef4backed Under53c7,762$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,113.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ff…c6cdbacked Under53c7,662$4,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,060.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe95…bba4backed Under53c7,647$4,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,052.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29e3…e82abacked Under53c7,637$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7aa…367bbacked Over47c7,493$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,971.295100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0647…cad3backed Under53c7,458$3,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,952.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed9e…89f4backed Over47c7,347$3,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,893.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfef5…4ba6backed Under53c7,015$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4963…be3bbacked Under53c6,968$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…4d69backed Under53c6,793$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b16…3fbcbacked Over47c6,774$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,590.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b4…fe78backed Under53c6,722$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,562.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…cefbbacked Over47c6,714$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,558.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2484…68e2backed Over47c6,682$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc971…7589backed Under53c6,528$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5146…d204backed Over47c6,438$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e84…44fbbacked Under53c6,419$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3181…0638backed Over47c5,527$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce5f…51e7backed Over47c5,468$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc939…10d8backed Under53c5,209$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.77450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b6…301ebacked Under53c5,107$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.711266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Under56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1b…c27cbacked Under53c4,951$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9477…5cf3backed Over47c4,574$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf2…c95fbacked Over47c4,509$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18ec…e045backed Over47c4,456$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc972…a4c9backed Under53c4,289$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…35a6backed Over47c4,253$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.09785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+75.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd236…22f0backed Over47c4,195$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.35850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ef8…f0c0backed Over47c3,913$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9528…4c16backed Under53c3,703$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac2b…dff6backed Under53c3,644$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c3,604$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…f348backed Over47c3,430$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+72.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdac4…8d22backed Under53c3,392$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9713…7c4dbacked Over47c3,385$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.05875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa41f…d4cebacked Under53c3,377$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c3,315$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.983,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282e…0799backed Over47c3,194$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e0…8394backed Under53c3,004$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba32…b4ecbacked Under53c2,718$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0c…ecfcbacked Under53c2,702$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb9…49a8backed Over47c2,547$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b1…0105backed Over47c2,546$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0da9…2cb9backed Over47c2,537$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f11backed Over47c2,535$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8890…bf95backed Under53c2,528$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…4b25backed Over47c2,522$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.