NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x448c889f53a7da5111ecdbfe5a9a10e04043ad5bc950c38755e418f1aec532ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Warriors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $678,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,878 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 51c | 354,052$180,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,430.92 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jazz | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,500 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Jazz | 49c | 98,240$48,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,102.54 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 49c | 68,232$33,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,725.24 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz | 49c | 64,388$31,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,585.15 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 50c | 64,180$32,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,089.58 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 49c | 46,628$22,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,766.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 51c | 34,607$17,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,041.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 49c | 24,179$11,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,251.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Jazz | 51c | 23,392$11,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,462.02 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Jazz | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 50c | 19,926$9,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,963.16 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 51c | 17,496$8,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,604.81 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Jazz | 50c | 14,925$7,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462.69 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Jazz | 50c | 11,800$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Jazz | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Jazz | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 50c | 7,130$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 49c | 6,937$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.28 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Warriors | 51c | 6,018$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.09 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 50c | 5,840$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 50c | 5,510$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Warriors | 49c | 5,455$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Jazz | 49c | 5,065$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.24 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 50c | 4,822$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.7 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 50c | 4,536$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.27 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Jazz | 50c | 4,041$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Jazz | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 52c | 3,300$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.67 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.94 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 50c | 2,094$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Warriors | 31c | 1,722$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.89 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Jazz | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Warriors | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Jazz | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 50c | 1,284$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Warriors | 29c | 1,166$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.8 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Jazz | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 40c | 1,021$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.52 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…d0fabacked Warriors | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.14 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Warriors | 52c | 962.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 49c | 955.05$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.79 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 55c | 813.39$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Jazz | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Jazz | 50c | 800$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.13 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Warriors | 50c | 777.33$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.67 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 31c | 652.01$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.07 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Jazz | 51c | 651.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.3 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Warriors | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Jazz | 49c | 599.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.79 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Jazz | 49c | 565.29$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.3 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Jazz | 50c | 517.82$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.09 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Warriors | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…2275backed Warriors | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Jazz | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Warriors | 51c | 446.7$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.82 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Warriors | 50c | 400.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Warriors | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Jazz | 49c | 397.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.48 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Warriors | 51c | 390.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Jazz | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Jazz | 50c | 374$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Jazz | 49c | 327.37$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.37 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 49c | 312.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Warriors | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Jazz | 50c | 306.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Jazz | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Jazz | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Jazz | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Warriors | 51c | 295.56$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Jazz | 49c | 256.94$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 37c | 239.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Jazz | 49c | 228.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Jazz | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Warriors | 52c | 210.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…b420backed Warriors | 52c | 208.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Jazz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Warriors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Warriors | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Jazz | 50c | 184.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Jazz | 51c | 180.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Warriors | 51c | 180.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Warriors | 50c | 170.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Jazz | 50c | 169.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 18c | 163.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Jazz | 50c | 154.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Jazz | 50c | 151.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Jazz | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Jazz | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Jazz | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Jazz | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Warriors | 42c | 145.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Jazz won
- Warriors vs. JazzJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.