NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c32eb191f79e4ce37750f90a8e99e2eba084bb7c55656aafbde34d5209c5233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Warriors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $682,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $689,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $682,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 47c | 455,572$213,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,971.42 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Jazz | 53c | 228,428$121,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,361.37 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Jazz | 53c | 150,000$79,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 47c | 77,921$36,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,580.56 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 53c | 76,073$40,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,710.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Warriors | 46c | 31,268$14,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,511.8 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 54c | 22,313$11,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,359.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 53c | 20,906$11,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,825.76 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 53c | 17,127$9,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,021.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Jazz | 53c | 15,800$8,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,426 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Warriors | 47c | 9,453$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.88 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 53c | 7,829$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Jazz | 53c | 6,655$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.94 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Jazz | 54c | 6,600$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Jazz | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.02 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Warriors | 47c | 4,673$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Warriors | 48c | 4,398$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.11 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 55c | 4,347$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.15 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Warriors | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Warriors | 46c | 3,992$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.16 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Jazz | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Warriors | 48c | 2,577$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Warriors | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.66 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Warriors | 46c | 1,870$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 62c | 1,767$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz | 53c | 1,585$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.95 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,070$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Warriors | 40c | 1,010$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Jazz | 57c | 1,001$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.53 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Jazz | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 53c | 998.53$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Jazz | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Jazz | 53c | 864.7$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.5 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jazz | 54c | 849$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.54 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Jazz | 53c | 758.9$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.68 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 53c | 720.28$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 54c | 616.86$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.73 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 53c | 580.82$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a7…7916backed Warriors | 46c | 543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Warriors | 33c | 531.35$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Jazz | 54c | 509.73$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.48 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Jazz | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Warriors | 46c | 417.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Warriors | 47c | 412.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Warriors | 33c | 408.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Jazz | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Jazz | 56c | 395$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 42c | 366.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Jazz | 54c | 366.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Jazz | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 46c | 355.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.72 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Warriors | 47c | 328$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Warriors | 47c | 315.96$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Jazz | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…b420backed Warriors | 48c | 295.8$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Warriors | 45c | 287$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Jazz | 54c | 262.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz | 53c | 250.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Warriors | 48c | 244.17$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Jazz | 54c | 238.69$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Warriors | 48c | 226.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Warriors | 47c | 216.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1e09backed Warriors | 7c | 215.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Warriors | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Warriors | 48c | 210.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Warriors | 47c | 198.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Jazz | 59c | 185.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 47c | 185.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…1bd8backed Jazz | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…99b1backed Jazz | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Warriors | 47c | 181.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Jazz | 55c | 164.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Warriors | 48c | 153.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Jazz | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz | 55c | 148$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Jazz | 53c | 143.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…e717backed Jazz | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Jazz | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Jazz | 54c | 118.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Warriors | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Warriors | 46c | 112.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…9d13backed Jazz | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Warriors | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Warriors | 47c | 107.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Warriors | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…89d1backed Warriors | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Warriors | 48c | 103.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jazz | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…53d7backed Jazz | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Jazz | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Warriors | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…d946backed Jazz | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…d404backed Jazz | 57c | 99.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Warriors | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6d…a962backed Jazz | 54c | 97.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 33c | 96.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jazz | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Jazz won
- Warriors vs. JazzJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.