TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,342 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c7,885$5,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.9952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes3c3,384$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1945233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes34c2,479$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.8615455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c1,576$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c1,513$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.5738056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes36c1,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044755.3%26 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes4c1,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.110545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No66c659.09$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.093256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c514.01$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.011,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes17c461.12$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee52…1817backed Yes35c345.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48c…9e7dbacked Yes36c345.02$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…68c4backed Yes35c336.58$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c44…9246backed Yes36c329.44$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…69c8backed Yes36c325.61$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf678…b132backed Yes35c318.95$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes35c310.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10227244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes36c278.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes35c259.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912528%7 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes11c253.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.912326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f65…64f4backed Yes35c225.31$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c217$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes35c212.14$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2510838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No77c199.28$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.838976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes36c181$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7053…887abacked No66c136.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+142.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes34c134$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5611753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffa4…ac86backed No66c130.75$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f2…9e63backed No65c125.76$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa086…5df5backed No65c123.1$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed9…6546backed No65c118.84$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf45d…fc79backed No66c118.35$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…8db8backed No65c115.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+105.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeef…c1a1backed No65c113.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x874f…b0a5backed Yes35c112.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5be…f2dbbacked No66c110.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf705…7186backed No66c109.35$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1974…edc9backed No66c108.88$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87d1…b9bebacked No66c104.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5930…012bbacked No65c101.84$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9de…bd0abacked No65c101.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…4804backed No65c100.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a15…4cdcbacked No65c100.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8c…18abbacked No66c97.01$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8164…7564backed No66c95.32$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x680b…0ca8backed No66c85.4$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cd…6234backed No66c77.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes36c71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.491323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes36c69.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254847.9%23 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes35c69.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.422236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes35c64.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…6002backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Yes33c54.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d1…3c3dbacked No66c52.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1826041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3610960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…23c6backed Yes33c49.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.431526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes22c48.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.852339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes34c47.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.241428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b2…4171backed No67c43.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+105.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No65c40.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.381450%7 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf07…9c4fbacked No66c38.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes34c36.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.389256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes34c32.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2214247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No66c32.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1610855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf10…557ebacked Yes36c30.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.02540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7795…2db2backed No66c30.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86254.8%34 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.39661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.24969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed No65c22.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.975135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No64c18.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.87853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No66c17.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.034141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No68c17.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.652080%16 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.