Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16e2047ae9debe7642d8476af30426258e8eb510f984a75b2f7dd5d114845fef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,177 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 27c | 5,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 74c | 5,410$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 5,103$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.87 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 2,110$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.31 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,552$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.6 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 73c | 789$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 27c | 365.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 17c | 248.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…cefbbacked Yes | 8c | 225$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 215.31$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 28c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 116.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 12c | 108.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 11c | 107.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 80c | 101$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…f0f4backed Yes | 27c | 92.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 27c | 76.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…5e5fbacked Yes | 27c | 49.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…362bbacked No | 73c | 43.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 78c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.