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La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5966…f804backed Over72c101,558$73,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,373.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c88,066$30,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,446.524,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under28c22,776$6,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,441.811055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over46c16,664$7,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,034.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under28c16,624$4,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,726.6890543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over68c5,000$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.986468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00020253.5%108 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over61c3,910$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.7764839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under21c1,648$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.122944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333%1 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked Under3c935.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.57825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c812.39$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761,66943.8%731 W · 938 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under35c797.07$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.2722760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over76c785.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.525862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…94ccbacked Over63c615.24$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under25c555$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7522446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c532.61$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.393,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under36c527.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4236744.7%164 W · 203 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.482759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under40c423.15$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1823857.1%136 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.413164.5%20 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under24c389.94$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under23c373.57$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9274249.9%370 W · 372 L+2.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under23c305.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3180250.2%403 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under33c235.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4720850.5%105 W · 103 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over69c233.51$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.723151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Under30c225.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.671050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under39c192.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3118360.7%111 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e0…39b8backed Over64c157.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c7…c8fbbacked Over71c151.32$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under24c143$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6826154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c138.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.551,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over75c129.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.883259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under27c120.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0535759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over69c116.02$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9718062.8%113 W · 67 L+33.1wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+73.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under20c106.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1123740.1%95 W · 142 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Under19c103.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over55c98.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5344838.4%172 W · 276 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over53c94.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3419258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over76c91.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9270356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under38c85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0293145.4%423 W · 508 L-30.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over61c84.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.077263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under23c81.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6947749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over77c75.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under33c71.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5713648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Over78c71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.623360.6%20 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Over72c70.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.534845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3922246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed Under28c68.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over75c68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,63551.6%844 W · 791 L-7.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under37c67.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92a9…ffd7backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.228958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under38c57.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5311366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Under37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55644.6%25 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under22c48.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf604…4976backed Over77c45.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.571060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe851…9471backed Over72c44.41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.412152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.116865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over67c39.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66e4…5583backed Under33c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.362161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over60c36.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6861355%337 W · 276 L+30.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Under34c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.241338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85f…dfb5backed Under35c34.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.26812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-78.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20fe…884cbacked Over57c34.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Under38c34.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.071338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Over64c31.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.336848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over73c31.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over60c30.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3723653%125 W · 111 L+17.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.613141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under49c29.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.544854.2%26 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Over69c27.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.973464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70af…5847backed Over71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.13366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4511769.2%81 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.86675.8%50 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1c…5aebbacked Over76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.822366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over66c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.813760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Over74c16.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.411729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Over73c16.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.431770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf647…dbafbacked Over77c14.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.