La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4641324376aaba10a82be2b315881ccadd36a4f156742a555a67a2702453a07d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.95 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 3,486$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.3 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 1,699$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 71c | 1,482$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.06 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 71c | 864.76$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.03 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 70c | 442.89$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 71c | 279.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 71c | 279.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 28c | 201.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 70c | 157.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 31c | 96.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 72c | 71.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 70.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 70c | 59.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 31c | 35.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 36.6%41 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 30c | 35.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 71c | 31.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 78c | 30.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 71c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Under | 71c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 71c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 71c | 20.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 71c | 20.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 72c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5this page
- Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.