TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over34c7,955$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.0457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under60c4,859$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.7783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over45c4,445$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2420054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c4,382$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.734,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over46c4,227$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.34440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under50c3,860$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9302475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over51c2,828$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c2,610$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.153,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under70c2,460$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.451,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under50c1,555$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.514647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over18c844.57$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over28c504.59$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3760832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over17c472.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.265554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over41c468.29$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19217128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c461.85$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.922,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over43c436.86$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over50c391.24$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6510329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under78c364.9$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6af5…992abacked Over35c357.14$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under56c348.06$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0113347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c295.24$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over21c263.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5422553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1234…3bb3backed Under60c240.7$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c234.28$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c234.16$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4217859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under67c215.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Under49c206.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf09b…2101backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over51c199.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.988341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c176$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0540239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over52c175.02$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.015944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under75c170.57$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.981020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under49c161.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8722246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under64c161.7$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0233544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under23c154.78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.185853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Over25c124$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under69c119.35$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.496163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043040%12 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5949…5fc4backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under55c97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6522446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Over54c82.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.422133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over30c81.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-51.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.642158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over50c79.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.713839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c75.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.245841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.57750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over38c62.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8859655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over44c57.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.793857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273050%15 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over52c53.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under38c49.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7421139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under47c47.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Under80c46.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.372334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over50c45.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5145450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x409a…df2fbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbba1…f2fdbacked Over27c39.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe582…7fd5backed Over50c37.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under44c37.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7426154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under65c36.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8222557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d31…94acbacked Over45c33.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd8a2…77a9backed Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c29.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4899933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over52c28.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under64c26.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under56c25.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.415343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over57c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.642544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d71…c404backed Under78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+97%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over51c20.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4519865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under70c20.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1222760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1020857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.