Mls · resolved market
San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57031b56089df8a339dea6ad5d5dd1a5b28de5064a1966a3f0565ade33932d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,285 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0792…b778backed Under | 61c | 201,697$122,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,999.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 39c | 78,150$30,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,671.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 31,891$12,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,230.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 39c | 30,351$11,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,514.11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 39c | 12,006$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,323.52 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 39c | 10,313$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,290.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 39c | 8,400$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 5,961$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.95 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 39c | 4,732$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 39c | 3,559$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 59c | 1,984$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.58 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 39c | 1,325$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.96 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 43c | 1,059$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 46c | 1,020$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Under | 48c | 926.43$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 40c | 867.3$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 2c | 812.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 47c | 750.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.29 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 40c | 692.74$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 48c | 621.43$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 557.77$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 3c | 541.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 40c | 475$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 40c | 453.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 438.1$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 39c | 431.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.36 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 39c | 409.3$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.78 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 40c | 402.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Over | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 39c | 332.48$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 48c | 327.08$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…871fbacked Over | 41c | 316.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 39c | 300$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 39c | 290.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.17 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 40c | 246.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Under | 43c | 232.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 49c | 229.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 40c | 204.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 59c | 201.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 177.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 42c | 162.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 161.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 40c | 157$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 40c | 149.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 141.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 39c | 137.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 72c | 133.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 131.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 67c | 116.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Over | 40c | 106.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Over | 39c | 102.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 43c | 97.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…1defbacked Over | 62c | 94.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…0dc1backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 42c | 87.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 43c | 81.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…474dbacked Over | 66c | 77.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 45c | 75.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 74.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 59c | 74.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 58c | 71.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 66.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 53c | 64.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 41c | 64.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Over | 41c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 41c | 50.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Over | 40c | 42.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 39c | 41.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…14a9backed Over | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 48c | 34.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 39c | 32.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 71c | 31.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 31.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5this page
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.