Mls · resolved market
San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce19be88eda47df5fdd2ec8d6f88332a91ace162e6ddcb5a901a84ae8782cb44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,108 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed No | 39c | 343$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 145.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 124.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 61c | 96.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…da18backed No | 21c | 94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Yes | 64c | 80.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 38c | 70.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 60.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 50.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 63c | 39.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 64c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 66c | 15.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.