Mls · resolved market
San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3be16cacd9944416aeb4d65d337fc07c63fa948da6d88cd023c078f02bb587eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,101 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0792…b778backed Under | 38c | 43,706$16,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,608.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 38c | 27,955$10,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,543.43 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 20,447$12,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,692.33 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over | 62c | 14,384$8,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.86 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 62c | 8,700$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 62c | 8,555$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 62c | 5,332$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.16 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 62c | 4,487$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.97 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 62c | 2,373$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.47 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 2,225$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.08 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 62c | 1,650$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.01 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 40c | 1,432$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.85 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 24c | 957.38$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.52 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 62c | 833.59$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.97 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 62c | 735.85$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Over | 75c | 599.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 61c | 311.71$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 62c | 258.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 62c | 248$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 55c | 208.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 45c | 190.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 190.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 71c | 127.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 62c | 121$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 63c | 116.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…da18backed Under | 24c | 109.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 21c | 87.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 84.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 63c | 71.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 63.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 18c | 61.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 60.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 58c | 60.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Under | 39c | 58.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed Over | 62c | 58.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 42c | 43.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…33febacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 39c | 26.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 62c | 20.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Over | 62c | 19.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…0dd8backed Over | 62c | 17.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Over | 73c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5this page
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.