Premier League · resolved market
Will Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe74d6ad3f44ad47d478affe787cb2e22e622a3e4bf6a213da57b6dbf02cad5df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…2089backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a280backed Yes | 73c | 1,642$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 69c | 1,553$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.1 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…9720backed No | 10c | 1,048$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed No | 5c | 302.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 5c | 300.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…a1dbbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f39…8630backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 75c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.