NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Predators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff305a4a0f73956ff6b9c75bbeaf33139cf0cdeb060b4b594bc0f711eb0167dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.92 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 52c | 6,454$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.8 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 46c | 3,488$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.22 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 2,719$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.39 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 1,605$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.3 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 4c | 1,414$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 54c | 890$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.4 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Over | 54c | 850$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 214.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 146.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 52c | 45.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 55c | 41.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce3…40f3backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 50c | 22.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Under | 48c | 22.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Predators: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Blues vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.