NHL · resolved market
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a644784d65696c5cfd5ada3899dd869f3f43880783005915158f5b52558c1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Predators, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Blues | 67c | 60,088$40,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,829.95 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Predators | 33c | 56,662$18,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,698.48 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Predators | 36c | 13,855$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 64c | 10,995$7,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.56 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Predators | 33c | 2,873$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blues | 66c | 1,383$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.9 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues | 64c | 765.62$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.62 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Blues | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Blues | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 75c | 485.35$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Predators | 33c | 413$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Predators | 33c | 355$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Blues | 68c | 353.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Predators | 34c | 313.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Predators | 24c | 299.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Blues | 66c | 278.25$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 26c | 256.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blues | 67c | 223.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Predators | 33c | 219.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Blues | 64c | 207.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…7b4cbacked Predators | 35c | 199.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Predators | 35c | 193.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Predators | 33c | 185.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Predators | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Blues | 58c | 173.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Predators | 33c | 171$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Predators | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Predators | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators | 33c | 124.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Blues | 67c | 104.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Predators | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Blues | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Blues | 65c | 81.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blues | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Predators | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Blues | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Predators | 35c | 56.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Predators | 36c | 55.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blues | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Predators | 49c | 53.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Blues | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Blues | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Blues | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blues | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Predators | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Blues | 65c | 40.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Blues | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Blues | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Blues | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Predators | 33c | 36.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked Blues | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Predators | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Blues | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Blues | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blues | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Blues | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…3dd1backed Blues | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Blues | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Blues | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Blues | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Blues | 68c | 21.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Blues | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Blues | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Blues | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Blues | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Blues vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.