NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c69f538b54ab1d6412b3a4c790b250c4b00a5d1fe1d433b9762f8b17065fd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.07 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 42c | 4,149$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.31 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 3,365$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.21 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 694.32$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.8 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 58c | 492.55$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 412.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 301.73$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 44c | 121$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Over | 44c | 111$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 44c | 93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 57c | 73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 35c | 38.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Under | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Under | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…477cbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Predators: O/U 6.5this page
- Blues vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Blues vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.