NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ceddd66dbf792d523cac511ddd15c7c39c1861754501e13cbd92d92cddd586
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Wild, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Blackhawks | 59c | 1,225$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 41c | 851.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.26 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blackhawks | 56c | 270.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks | 62c | 250$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Wild | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild | 45c | 213.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blackhawks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Wild | 43c | 151$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Wild | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Wild | 41c | 119$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blackhawks | 57c | 112.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Wild | 43c | 112.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Blackhawks | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 41c | 101.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Blackhawks | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Wild | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Wild | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Wild | 41c | 61.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Wild | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Wild | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Blackhawks | 56c | 48.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild | 41c | 43.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Wild | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Blackhawks | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Blackhawks | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Blackhawks | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Blackhawks | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Blackhawks | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Blackhawks | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blackhawks | 56c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Blackhawks | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Blackhawks | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Blackhawks | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Blackhawks | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. WildWild won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.