NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d20f79e7a34fad08fdf6f81b4751f4899b7c0ae22cc3bd9a4e0b9d78e116872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 11,670$5,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,527.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Under | 56c | 10,149$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.36 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…85cebacked Under | 55c | 1,137$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 496.53$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 400$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 54c | 281.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 55c | 250$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 245.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 218.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 210.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 196$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 56c | 161.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 51c | 147$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 45c | 133$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 128.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…9f9abacked Under | 55c | 121.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 55c | 121$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 110.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 108.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Over | 45c | 92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Under | 54c | 89.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 45c | 74.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 68.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Over | 45c | 63.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 51c | 57.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked Under | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 45c | 51.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Under | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 42c | 39.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…958ebacked Under | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…8427backed Under | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Under | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Under | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. WildWild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.