Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e42fd7b15c4ab670a92f268f6d8c46a973a5dfa33cc5607ad59ea717eb58dc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.06 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.66 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 1,417$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.22 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 60c | 862.78$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.83 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 783.32$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.67 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 666.27$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.76 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 643.69$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.27 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 18c | 590.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…3399backed Over | 61c | 521$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 452.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 79c | 443.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 418.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 17c | 285.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 74c | 155.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 64c | 140.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 72c | 139.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 69c | 108.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 48c | 106.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 68c | 105.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…ced7backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 69c | 97.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 72c | 89.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 69c | 88.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 69c | 88.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 69c | 86.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 66.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 71c | 56.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 63c | 55.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…ca41backed Over | 57c | 50.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 53c | 36.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 77c | 35.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 66c | 33.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 63c | 30.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 64c | 30.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 64c | 30.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 63c | 29.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 65c | 20.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 65c | 20.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 65c | 20.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 65c | 20.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 65c | 20.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 77c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 64c | 19.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)New York City FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.