TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x422c…9840backed Over55c2,100$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.995042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c944.07$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.863,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over54c927.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under45c919.65$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over62c887.1$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under46c797.74$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.783450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c680.44$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2878344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over57c526.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0920554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over58c416.79$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1429460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Over57c389$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7340%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over57c385.37$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8531158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under38c376.87$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6613053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c363.53$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d17…89f7backed Under44c225.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7215…5f06backed Over55c219.93$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b79…e76fbacked Over55c219.79$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437e…392dbacked Over56c219.71$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22bf…fddcbacked Under45c219$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e8…3056backed Under44c218$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf390…0749backed Under44c217$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d0…6c2abacked Over56c213.81$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5365…d694backed Under45c213$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55bd…67e4backed Over56c212.19$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b67…dd18backed Under45c212$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…22f9backed Over56c211.21$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660b…93febacked Over55c211.07$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5305…1757backed Under45c211$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d03…3687backed Under44c209$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff9f…3d4ebacked Over56c207.09$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c17…948cbacked Over55c206.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b13…85dbbacked Over56c205.35$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f1…968ebacked Under44c202$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x284b…4638backed Under45c201$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0a…b0dbbacked Under44c201$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea7…6889backed Over55c200.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…906abacked Over56c199.91$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb402…85efbacked Over55c198.38$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x862b…6f54backed Under45c198$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e3…507bbacked Under45c198$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e97…b0f5backed Under44c198$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ac…f564backed Under44c198$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c196.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.339234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd286…d979backed Over55c195.83$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under45c195.06$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.256752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb903…9f0cbacked Under45c193$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69d9…3a28backed Over55c192.62$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7107…94e9backed Over56c192.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742a…b5e4backed Over56c191.79$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ba…d22bbacked Over55c191.61$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a7…e8ecbacked Over55c191.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e4…0e9dbacked Under45c191$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…1625backed Under45c191$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b7…9a27backed Over56c190.65$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282d…52abbacked Under44c190$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4240…82acbacked Under44c184.88$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over60c182.27$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010250%51 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under40c151.55$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9312849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under46c127$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5811441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over54c127$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5810353.4%55 W · 48 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c123.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c84.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.625934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7954…665bbacked Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under48c76.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c70.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8982044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under47c60.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8419052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.24447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6928721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under38c49.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0305…aa67backed Under41c44.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.376651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over62c40.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258465.5%55 W · 29 L+16.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under40c38.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.413542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over53c35.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over50c34.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.088041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over60c33.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.023339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c32.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.672937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c32.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7258043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e96…1e75backed Under43c30.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.66256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.310754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under42c27.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.135569.1%38 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Over49c27.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Over53c27.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.432263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec1…afe5backed Under44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1eb…48f0backed Under44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc118…7ebbbacked Under44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323a…6f61backed Under45c24.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d1…b14bbacked Over55c24.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf13…c417backed Over61c24.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…a75fbacked Over55c24.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59df…f892backed Over56c24.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedcb…020fbacked Over56c24.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c37…64cfbacked Over55c24.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.