Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db180c60b6d03114f5e1a0c6cf6b350030228f4549c085c9036f4b1780e2b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 485.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 438$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.58 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 330.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 38c | 262.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 194.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 62c | 175$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 107.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 59c | 42.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Under | 74c | 35.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Under | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)New York City FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.