Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89593ee2d168837d5098e9d0ef9715aae1f36ec5420e864ea40c1c8695a87695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 42c | 9,780$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,672.36 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 3,626$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.32 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 58c | 3,396$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.58 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 56c | 2,148$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 1,082$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.74 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.04 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 53c | 972.18$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 54c | 880$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.55 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 42c | 749.8$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.51 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 58c | 712.06$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.7 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 552.73$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 551$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.31 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 65c | 550.4$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.49 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 60c | 446.63$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.21 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 43c | 425.54$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.65 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 55c | 245.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 234.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 53c | 212.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 204.84$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 46c | 190.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 49c | 187.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Over | 39c | 153.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 58c | 133$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 128.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 46c | 101.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 40c | 91.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 81.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 26c | 67.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 47c | 62.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 42c | 55.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 41c | 47.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 47c | 46.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 38c | 42.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 46c | 41.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 55c | 39.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Over | 36c | 35.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Under | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Under | 64c | 32.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 30.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 63c | 27.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 27.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 54c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 57c | 19.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 64c | 18.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.