Mls · resolved market
Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606fc9302d0281c2b753a92cbd5c3ae5d404203b413583b5e299ee0311984907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Unionof Charlotte FC, Philadelphia Union
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe414…c341backed Philadelphia Union | 78c | 153.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Charlotte FC | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…c27abacked Charlotte FC | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Philadelphia Union | 78c | 96.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Union | 79c | 93.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Charlotte FC | 21c | 91.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Charlotte FC | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Union | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Philadelphia Union | 76c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.