Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe25be12be0ac1588baaf3daec2f2ecb93d65c1f393391e4ef4c0d12593e6c439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,166$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked No | 40c | 828.94$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…4ddebacked Yes | 66c | 828$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 35c | 819$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 65c | 813$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 65c | 758$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed No | 31c | 662$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 25cpaid | +339.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 35c | 662$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 30c | 637$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…857abacked No | 31c | 570$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 69c | 517$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 69c | 452$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 35c | 444$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 34c | 428$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…06a9backed Yes | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 69c | 341$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed No | 31c | 339$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…7406backed No | 35c | 338$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 35c | 323.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked No | 30c | 294$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd506…295fbacked Yes | 14c | 283.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 34c | 257$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed Yes | 65c | 253$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked No | 35c | 246$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed No | 30c | 235$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 40c | 217.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 213.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed Yes | 65c | 209$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed Yes | 69c | 197$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…e7a6backed Yes | 14c | 170.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 65c | 168$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…1e02backed Yes | 30c | 164.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 160.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked No | 31c | 151$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked No | 34c | 143$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…fdfdbacked Yes | 29c | 136.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 56c | 134.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 69c | 124$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…1993backed No | 65c | 116.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed Yes | 69c | 116$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb459…52bdbacked Yes | 12c | 111.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 65c | 107$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…4053backed No | 76c | 106.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 72c | 106$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…0160backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…bd10backed Yes | 63c | 94.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed No | 77c | 91.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 33c | 87.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 46c | 87.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…406ebacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…6f58backed Yes | 52c | 77.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…c78dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…e702backed Yes | 25c | 72.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 60c | 68.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 73c | 67.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…1d49backed Yes | 30c | 65.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed No | 56c | 64.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e16…0bb0backed Yes | 32c | 61.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 65c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…d383backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…c3cabacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 51.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…df58backed Yes | 41c | 48.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80dd…d677backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 31c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…b9b4backed Yes | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 66c | 35.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 33.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8dd5backed No | 55c | 32.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b72…dca9backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1827…90d0backed No | 56c | 25.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…12a5backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…5070backed No | 59c | 24.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…87bcbacked No | 50c | 23.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…4e62backed No | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7735backed No | 61c | 20.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…a178backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…4aa0backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…5698backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637e…0bb4backed No | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4af…7e07backed No | 54c | 18.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 79c | 17.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 71c | 17.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)this page
- Will Trump say "Anniversary" or "America250" this week? (January 18)No won
- Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (January 18)Yes won
- Will Trump say "Dancing in the street" this week? (January 18)No won
- Will Trump say "Eight and a Quarter War" this week? (January 18)No won
- Will Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)Yes won
- Will Trump say "Helicopter" this week? (January 18)Yes won
- Will Trump say "Low-IQ" this week? (January 18)No won
- Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)Yes won
- Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)Yes won
- Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (January 18)Yes won
- Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (January 18)Yes won
- Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (January 18)No won
- Will Trump say "Sean" or "Hannity" this week? (January 18)Yes won
- Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week? (January 18)Yes won
- Will Trump say "Switzerland" this week? (January 18)No won
- Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)Yes won
- Will Trump say "Transition" this week? (January 18)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.