Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x514478489297899a163bef71092ef8680462cc72794bf316022f98d18b1e7902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago State Cougarsof St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, Chicago State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57ba…d369backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 51c | 1,633$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.4 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed Chicago State Cougars | 57c | 1,183$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 1,025$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 44c | 1,008$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 973$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 932$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 44c | 923$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 889$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 44c | 803$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 788$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 718$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Chicago State Cougars | 57c | 717$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 658$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +238%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 44c | 628$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 607.82$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 475.85$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 467$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Chicago State Cougars | 57c | 266$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 53c | 264$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…d6c9backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 58c | 258.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 242.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 220.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 51c | 208.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 197.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 188$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 161$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 51c | 138$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 136$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 122.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 36c | 119$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 115$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 43c | 94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 51c | 89.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 51c | 88.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…321cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 51c | 77.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8e46backed Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 73.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 67c | 65.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…bc57backed Chicago State Cougars | 67c | 48.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Chicago State Cougars | 43c | 41.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…f23dbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…2055backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 47c | 21.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougarsthis page
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougars: O/U 140.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.