Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Sara Bejlek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37428fdd0f8781d43fee2fce321a10cbc61373de4d6643d03de62e9416ab9bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sorana Cirsteaof Sorana Cirstea, Sara Bejlek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Sorana Cirstea | 73c | 10,967$7,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.02 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sara Bejlek | 5c | 9,639$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.7 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Sorana Cirstea | 74c | 7,161$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.76 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Sara Bejlek | 26c | 4,615$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sara Bejlek | 26c | 3,732$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.76 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sara Bejlek | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sara Bejlek | 27c | 2,496$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.06 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…6586backed Sara Bejlek | 25c | 2,220$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sorana Cirstea | 74c | 1,566$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.36 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sara Bejlek | 13c | 1,312$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sorana Cirstea | 77c | 1,300$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.98 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sara Bejlek | 27c | 1,239$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.49 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sara Bejlek | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Sara Bejlek | 18c | 855.14$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sara Bejlek | 18c | 777.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sara Bejlek | 27c | 757.78$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Sorana Cirstea | 75c | 671.14$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Sara Bejlek | 28c | 666$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Sara Bejlek | 8c | 612.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sara Bejlek | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sorana Cirstea | 77c | 581.92$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Sara Bejlek | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,474 | 35.1%518 W · 956 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sara Bejlek | 12c | 323.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Sorana Cirstea | 75c | 311.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 1,061 | 57.4%609 W · 452 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Sara Bejlek | 19c | 272.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Sara Bejlek | 10c | 251.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Sara Bejlek | 27c | 240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Sorana Cirstea | 71c | 205.01$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Sara Bejlek | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 828 | 47.3%392 W · 436 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Sorana Cirstea | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 171 | 71.9%123 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sara Bejlek | 20c | 177.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sara Bejlek | 19c | 176.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Sara Bejlek | 27c | 151.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Sorana Cirstea | 75c | 149.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sara Bejlek | 9c | 140.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sara Bejlek | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Sorana Cirstea | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 598 | 52.7%315 W · 283 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Sorana Cirstea | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sorana Cirstea | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sara Bejlek | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Sara Bejlek | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Sara Bejlek | 20c | 90.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Sara Bejlek | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 434 | 52.3%227 W · 207 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Sara Bejlek | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Sara Bejlek | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Sara Bejlek | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sorana Cirstea | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Sara Bejlek | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Sorana Cirstea | 75c | 66.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Sorana Cirstea | 74c | 64.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Sara Bejlek | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Sara Bejlek | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…d7a8backed Sara Bejlek | 29c | 52.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Sorana Cirstea | 75c | 46.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Sara Bejlek | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…4736backed Sorana Cirstea | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sara Bejlek | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Sorana Cirstea | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…133cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 75c | 33.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Sorana Cirstea | 75c | 31.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 241 | 74.3%179 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Sorana Cirstea | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Sorana Cirstea | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 591 | 66.7%394 W · 197 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…9664backed Sorana Cirstea | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Sorana Cirstea | 74c | 20.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Sorana Cirstea | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Sorana Cirstea | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…7354backed Sorana Cirstea | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.