Token Launches · resolved market
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00262c7134bc0a149f8e1ec5ccd7b6480f035fd3ea2172377fa5c59867f7d5c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb3b…c2ecbacked No | 0c | 15,284$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d281backed Yes | 63c | 10,032$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…2eb5backed Yes | 60c | 9,685$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 3c | 9,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +470.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 34c | 8,808$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.86 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…8986backed Yes | 69c | 7,533$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 54c | 6,231$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.37 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…2858backed No | 62c | 5,265$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…a3fdbacked No | 11c | 3,500$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 22c | 3,414$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.8 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…b95dbacked No | 65c | 3,095$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 11c | 2,825$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.75 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Yes | 59c | 2,567$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…e9fbbacked Yes | 40c | 2,497$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 8c | 2,216$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.32per pick | 12cpaid | +985.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 79c | 2,135$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Yes | 44c | 2,118$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…1017backed No | 47c | 2,096$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…36bebacked No | 30c | 1,609$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…03cfbacked No | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 20c | 1,468$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…f44bbacked No | 62c | 1,459$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,447$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…c13fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,283$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +107%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 28c | 1,204$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 32c | 1,198$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.56 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 38c | 1,120$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed5…5c2abacked No | 3c | 1,101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…044bbacked No | 19c | 1,064$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…f1d3backed Yes | 40c | 982.93$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a0…9884backed Yes | 73c | 982.69$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 50c | 956.89$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 55c | 921.67$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…cd65backed No | 21c | 800$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 72c | 790.45$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…2154backed Yes | 42c | 788.07$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 27c | 760.08$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…0621backed No | 55c | 722.78$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 64c | 640$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18f…f31ebacked Yes | 38c | 635.48$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…1910backed Yes | 15c | 603.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…2e2ebacked Yes | 70c | 600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…f630backed Yes | 40c | 586.69$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…9218backed Yes | 33c | 576.67$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…8871backed No | 38c | 572.18$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes | 74c | 559.53$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…aa12backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f7…c1c1backed Yes | 78c | 484.5$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 29c | 483.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…6015backed No | 24c | 437.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…d48cbacked No | 67c | 414.46$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked No | 24c | 403.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 29c | 391.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…fca9backed No | 30c | 374.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316c…dd80backed No | 66c | 371.68$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…b850backed No | 28c | 357.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…4134backed Yes | 30c | 317.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 19c | 305$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…4224backed Yes | 71c | 278.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…47bcbacked Yes | 37c | 275.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 28c | 275$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6e…1b79backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 42c | 250.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…50a0backed Yes | 80c | 250.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…7975backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…7a74backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed No | 20c | 220$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 25c | 215.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…808cbacked Yes | 36c | 215$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…3175backed No | 28c | 203.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…9388backed Yes | 74c | 203.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7633…1a22backed Yes | 60c | 193.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…009ebacked Yes | 54c | 173.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…8ae3backed Yes | 67c | 172.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b75fbacked Yes | 78c | 166.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…8f5bbacked No | 77c | 160$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 53c | 158.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed No | 65c | 153.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 16c | 143.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +288.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2c7cbacked Yes | 59c | 140.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…b6afbacked Yes | 67c | 138.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 137.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…4209backed No | 59c | 135.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3409…6839backed No | 40c | 128.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…5892backed Yes | 79c | 126.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…12dfbacked Yes | 76c | 125.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed No | 31c | 123.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 44c | 121.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc863…500dbacked No | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187c…ca3cbacked No | 46c | 112.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…bf51backed No | 73c | 112.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…d1e9backed No | 66c | 103.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.