TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cup

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Real Madridof Real Madrid, Atalanta
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,787 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a14…0762backed Atalanta19c36,929$6,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,956.037630.3%23 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x741e…2f80backed Real Madrid78c26,799$20,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,895.781346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e8…ce3bbacked Real Madrid76c17,008$12,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,154.953100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Atalanta22c16,902$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.497437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Atalanta22c7,995$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Atalanta22c7,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.942254.5%12 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+63.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6931…8fb5backed Real Madrid78c5,769$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1856…1964backed Real Madrid79c5,488$4,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.293053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked Atalanta23c5,446$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6691…17cfbacked Atalanta6c5,332$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745b…ff04backed Real Madrid77c4,320$3,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.82231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2713…bf92backed Atalanta9c3,288$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Atalanta23c2,973$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.818652.3%45 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31d…36d5backed Real Madrid73c2,266$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a6…66a9backed Atalanta24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42c…58d7backed Real Madrid77c1,961$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd20…6209backed Real Madrid76c1,310$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Atalanta23c1,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4922744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…3c26backed Real Madrid78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Real Madrid79c1,008$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6419652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c2…0a62backed Real Madrid77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2303930.8%12 W · 27 L-8.6wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xeca5…0adebacked Atalanta23c999.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e82…64abbacked Real Madrid79c997.4$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.451952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b06…0b42backed Atalanta22c799.95$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.992931%9 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Atalanta22c695.89$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.786752.2%35 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1f2…bbc2backed Atalanta23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9be…fe74backed Real Madrid78c643.59$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2028…cac8backed Real Madrid78c641.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Real Madrid78c621.17$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.661275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Real Madrid77c618.58$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.32785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…adfdbacked Real Madrid78c584$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Real Madrid77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x028f…c9cbbacked Real Madrid76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb6…5917backed Real Madrid78c473.45$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…aa81backed Atalanta15c401$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.28333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Real Madrid79c400$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0060…eb25backed Real Madrid78c376.67$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.871540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3573…b6f9backed Real Madrid76c330.49$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.36per pick65cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Real Madrid69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Real Madrid79c300$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.514057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa29b…a0b8backed Real Madrid70c285.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.691241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c19…f99dbacked Real Madrid77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Real Madrid78c255.73$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafbf…c354backed Atalanta24c221.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde35…4bc8backed Real Madrid78c205.56$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.221656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf1…d5ecbacked Real Madrid77c201.6$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Real Madrid78c200$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Real Madrid79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…8177backed Atalanta23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd222…47fbbacked Real Madrid78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x120f…7956backed Real Madrid78c196$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa779…5772backed Real Madrid76c190$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27d…fc9cbacked Real Madrid79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.871283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6037…b097backed Real Madrid78c188.46$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9193…c86cbacked Real Madrid74c180$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Real Madrid78c178.21$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2115726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Real Madrid75c162.53$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Real Madrid71c161.73$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.621855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6807…391ebacked Real Madrid77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbfe…825dbacked Real Madrid78c136.9$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.12560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132d…1d9ebacked Real Madrid76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf76…5634backed Atalanta23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Real Madrid78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb98…969dbacked Real Madrid76c124.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.15875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82d…3fc7backed Real Madrid77c119.09$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Real Madrid69c118.41$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.713655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…b978backed Atalanta22c115.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Real Madrid78c110$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.29148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x047f…a10fbacked Real Madrid79c107.96$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22bf…782dbacked Real Madrid76c106.38$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fa…4bc1backed Real Madrid77c104.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Real Madrid78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.564831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a72…12debacked Real Madrid78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b13…a72bbacked Real Madrid77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Atalanta23c97.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.512959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Real Madrid78c90$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46a2…4f08backed Real Madrid76c85.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2807…97febacked Atalanta26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558c…c433backed Real Madrid78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.922661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Real Madrid71c74.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5811241.1%46 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Real Madrid78c72.88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.726747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0968…589fbacked Real Madrid70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe939…2af4backed Real Madrid77c70.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.264100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Real Madrid79c67.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.16977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed Real Madrid78c67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.742458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+193.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8df…be52backed Real Madrid75c66.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d3b…0aa1backed Real Madrid78c65.64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92f…b700backed Atalanta23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa301…41e1backed Real Madrid78c65.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Real Madrid78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+91.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Real Madrid78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…6adabacked Real Madrid79c63.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…1659backed Real Madrid78c61.54$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e7…87d1backed Real Madrid78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…b942backed Real Madrid75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf1…2f3fbacked Atalanta23c54.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0831…f374backed Real Madrid78c54.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ba…42a3backed Real Madrid78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6f…8e10backed Real Madrid76c51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2134…0734backed Real Madrid78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.