Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5d88d76412ed8375544c168c5549838b2e64002ecdcd79a4dc544615e8b201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Fnatic, Solary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Solary | 55c | 16,714$9,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,539.21 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x446f…b09fbacked Fnatic | 64c | 12,680$8,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,140.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Solary | 36c | 12,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Fnatic | 80c | 12,034$9,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,594.63 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Fnatic | 66c | 11,712$7,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,753.4 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…6fb7backed Solary | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Solary | 27c | 8,809$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,430.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Fnatic | 17c | 7,901$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.48 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Fnatic | 1c | 7,546$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Solary | 42c | 6,742$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.6 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…015abacked Fnatic | 0c | 5,842$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Solary | 36c | 5,712$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.71 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Fnatic | 30c | 5,600$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.16 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Solary | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Fnatic | 5c | 4,444$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Solary | 19c | 4,334$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.08 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Fnatic | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Fnatic | 64c | 3,243$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.56 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Solary | 56c | 3,094$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.56 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Solary | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.98 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Fnatic | 58c | 2,761$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.2 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Fnatic | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.99 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Solary | 35c | 2,430$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.15 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed Fnatic | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 253 | 68.4%173 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Fnatic | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Fnatic | 56c | 2,243$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.99 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Solary | 62c | 2,017$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.76 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Fnatic | 11c | 1,959$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.06 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5393…384dbacked Fnatic | 9c | 1,812$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…d382backed Fnatic | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Fnatic | 79c | 1,713$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Solary | 29c | 1,710$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.13 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Solary | 15c | 1,709$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.62 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Solary | 69c | 1,636$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.98 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Solary | 56c | 1,597$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.82 | 462 | 63.9%295 W · 167 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Fnatic | 79c | 1,529$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.24 | 144 | 25%36 W · 108 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Solary | 19c | 1,500$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.61 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Fnatic | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Solary | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Fnatic | 21c | 1,500$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Solary | 20c | 1,400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Fnatic | 75c | 1,306$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Solary | 23c | 1,289$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.31 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Solary | 35c | 1,273$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.16 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Fnatic | 39c | 1,200$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.22 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Fnatic | 73c | 1,193$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.89 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Solary | 30c | 1,175$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.58 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed Fnatic | 10c | 1,125$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Solary | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Solary | 24c | 1,054$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.68 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Solary | 19c | 1,045$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.12 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Solary | 20c | 1,025$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.28 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Fnatic | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Fnatic | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Solary | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Fnatic | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Solary | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…b4a2backed Solary | 17c | 999.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.95 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Solary | 26c | 961.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.09 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Solary | 15c | 938$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.3 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…022cbacked Fnatic | 23c | 931.79$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Fnatic | 70c | 925$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.5 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Fnatic | 11c | 919$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Solary | 40c | 868.05$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.83 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Fnatic | 6c | 863.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Fnatic | 4c | 857.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Solary | 36c | 850$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Fnatic | 72c | 829.99$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.59 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Solary | 24c | 805.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.44 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Solary | 25c | 745.82$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.37 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…8052backed Fnatic | 22c | 708.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Fnatic | 3c | 697$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…5442backed Solary | 17c | 694.52$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.61 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Fnatic | 3c | 685.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Solary | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fnatic | 77c | 663.88$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.51 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Solary | 41c | 652.31$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.86 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Solary | 24c | 648.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.54 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Fnatic | 77c | 612.77$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.83 | 149 | 30.9%46 W · 103 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Fnatic | 8c | 595.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Fnatic | 76c | 556.75$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Fnatic | 58c | 554.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.89 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…3fabbacked Solary | 37c | 541.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.56 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Fnatic | 37c | 540.14$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Fnatic | 65c | 524.62$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5085backed Solary | 25c | 501.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.17 | 236 | 56.8%134 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Fnatic | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Fnatic | 11c | 500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Fnatic | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 13cpaid | +185.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Fnatic | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 12cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4188…b517backed Fnatic | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Solary | 23c | 500$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.28 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…fe3dbacked Fnatic | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Solary | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Fnatic | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fnatic | 14c | 497.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Fnatic | 22c | 477.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Fnatic | 71c | 468.88$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.44 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Fnatic | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Fnatic | 24c | 466$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)Solary won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.