Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81832e881aff122505badef4f3f8f26f77ec12f843c6646776ba36bb36f92a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Fnatic, Solary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Solary | 65c | 14,087$9,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891.43 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Solary | 64c | 3,755$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.8 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Fnatic | 35c | 3,360$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Solary | 67c | 2,674$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.2 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fnatic | 33c | 2,500$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.7 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Fnatic | 34c | 2,242$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.65 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Fnatic | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Fnatic | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Fnatic | 35c | 1,749$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Fnatic | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Fnatic | 36c | 1,346$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Fnatic | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Fnatic | 36c | 1,161$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.71 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Solary | 65c | 1,021$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.57 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic | 34c | 887.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Solary | 65c | 723.94$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.38 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Fnatic | 38c | 700$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Fnatic | 42c | 643.97$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.85 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Fnatic | 35c | 635$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.25 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed Fnatic | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…8fe6backed Fnatic | 35c | 573$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Fnatic | 14c | 537.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Fnatic | 26c | 319.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fnatic | 34c | 302.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fnatic | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…1ddbbacked Fnatic | 35c | 294.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…4fb7backed Fnatic | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Fnatic | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…def4backed Fnatic | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Fnatic | 35c | 222.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Fnatic | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Solary | 69c | 181.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Fnatic | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 169 | 50.3%85 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…39a6backed Fnatic | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Fnatic | 32c | 155$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Fnatic | 32c | 133.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Fnatic | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Fnatic | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Solary | 66c | 67.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…f331backed Fnatic | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Fnatic | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Solary | 63c | 53.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fnatic | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Solary | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…2d0bbacked Solary | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Solary | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fnatic | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Solary | 45c | 23.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…31f4backed Solary | 74c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Fnatic | 56c | 19.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.