TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,138 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz25c23,425$5,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,844.543,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality80c18,202$14,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.2876657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Vitality56c10,041$5,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,387.667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed TheMongolz42c7,500$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.9912441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed TheMongolz42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9572046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Vitality58c4,192$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.7712449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked TheMongolz44c4,174$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.239352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked TheMongolz42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68083652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9c…b3e0backed Vitality68c3,813$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.892263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Vitality58c3,697$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.7424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Vitality59c2,644$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.6419244.3%85 W · 107 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Vitality58c2,585$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.6612941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed TheMongolz42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0504242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed TheMongolz40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9927353.1%145 W · 128 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Vitality58c1,933$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.7610945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1428443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Vitality58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.1943640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75025655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed Vitality57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6456248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed TheMongolz42c1,300$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5468847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Vitality58c1,246$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.453240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed TheMongolz43c1,046$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Vitality58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.487255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Vitality57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43011947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked TheMongolz50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed TheMongolz36c948.09$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7816935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked TheMongolz40c889.35$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7436152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality66c843.1$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.139157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz41c777.04$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.911,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz44c714.29$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2361228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed TheMongolz43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed TheMongolz43c612$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.162642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Vitality58c603.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.4559049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked TheMongolz44c600.4$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6540655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed TheMongolz43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Vitality55c531.15$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.424850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed TheMongolz44c521.41$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.689054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Vitality58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.247350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Vitality60c500.33$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.3310250%51 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Vitality60c500.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2114555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed TheMongolz43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21524429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed TheMongolz44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed TheMongolz39c449.93$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.344643.5%194 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed TheMongolz42c421$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.416350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed TheMongolz42c370.69$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8438552.2%201 W · 184 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed TheMongolz43c365.34$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.624233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Vitality59c362.66$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4328556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz40c350.63$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6750947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Vitality58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8310541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked TheMongolz44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213442.5%57 W · 77 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed TheMongolz41c284.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.361,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz44c263.57$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.992,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa743…7300backed Vitality59c255.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.178644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee26…c270backed TheMongolz43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed TheMongolz44c227.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4696…e741backed TheMongolz44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c0…b0e0backed Vitality59c214.69$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.027552%39 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x060f…34c0backed Vitality60c200.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.791250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Vitality58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8425941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4745…d71cbacked TheMongolz39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed Vitality56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888959.6%53 W · 36 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Vitality57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba0…97bfbacked Vitality44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127647.4%36 W · 40 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbddc…2d8abacked Vitality57c199.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9012…cb82backed Vitality71c195.66$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.742263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Vitality70c192.13$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7427848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Vitality56c178.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8120145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed TheMongolz44c177.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Vitality57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4422954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Vitality58c172.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4266753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked Vitality58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4120549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Vitality58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9147…baccbacked Vitality58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked TheMongolz43c172.19$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3716846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked TheMongolz61c142.03$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9210447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked TheMongolz43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed TheMongolz43c138.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.358535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed Vitality77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.874269%29 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed TheMongolz44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510554.3%57 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked TheMongolz27c118.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7127556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vitality79c117.3$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6360953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed TheMongolz44c114.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed TheMongolz44c113.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056554.2%306 W · 259 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed TheMongolz44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed TheMongolz44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+56%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed TheMongolz44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz26c110.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.591,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Vitality80c106.56$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8119362.2%120 W · 73 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed TheMongolz65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ad…bda1backed Vitality57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434052.5%21 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4340…1aecbacked Vitality56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…2a5ebacked Vitality58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdccf…687bbacked TheMongolz44c90.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.621435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed Vitality57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.719554.4%106 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Vitality58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2131757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Vitality58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.218647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality58c86.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1316248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Vitality66c81.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcfed…096dbacked TheMongolz44c81.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed TheMongolz43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.