CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x231eed1dc14c93bd5757808be3f590eec0191314b7277ec38242925466613f7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,138 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 25c | 23,425$5,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,844.54 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 80c | 18,202$14,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.28 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Vitality | 56c | 10,041$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.6 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed TheMongolz | 42c | 7,500$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed TheMongolz | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.95 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Vitality | 58c | 4,192$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.77 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 4,174$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.23 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…b3e0backed Vitality | 68c | 3,813$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.89 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Vitality | 58c | 3,697$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.74 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed Vitality | 59c | 2,644$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.64 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Vitality | 58c | 2,585$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.66 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed TheMongolz | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed TheMongolz | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Vitality | 58c | 1,933$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.76 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Vitality | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.19 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Vitality | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed TheMongolz | 42c | 1,300$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Vitality | 58c | 1,246$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed TheMongolz | 43c | 1,046$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.78 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Vitality | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Vitality | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed TheMongolz | 36c | 948.09$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.78 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked TheMongolz | 40c | 889.35$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.74 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality | 66c | 843.1$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.1 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 41c | 777.04$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.91 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 714.29$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.23 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed TheMongolz | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed TheMongolz | 43c | 612$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Vitality | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 600.4$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.65 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed TheMongolz | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Vitality | 55c | 531.15$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.42 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed TheMongolz | 44c | 521.41$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.68 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Vitality | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Vitality | 60c | 500.33$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.33 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Vitality | 60c | 500.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed TheMongolz | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed TheMongolz | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed TheMongolz | 39c | 449.93$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 446 | 43.5%194 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed TheMongolz | 42c | 421$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed TheMongolz | 42c | 370.69$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed TheMongolz | 43c | 365.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Vitality | 59c | 362.66$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz | 40c | 350.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Vitality | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed TheMongolz | 41c | 284.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz | 44c | 263.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed Vitality | 59c | 255.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…c270backed TheMongolz | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed TheMongolz | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed TheMongolz | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Vitality | 59c | 214.69$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…34c0backed Vitality | 60c | 200.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Vitality | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…d71cbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…c9f4backed Vitality | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Vitality | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Vitality | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…2d8abacked Vitality | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…cb82backed Vitality | 71c | 195.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Vitality | 70c | 192.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Vitality | 56c | 178.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed TheMongolz | 44c | 177.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Vitality | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Vitality | 58c | 172.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Vitality | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Vitality | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Vitality | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked TheMongolz | 43c | 172.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked TheMongolz | 61c | 142.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed TheMongolz | 43c | 138.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…ae12backed Vitality | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed TheMongolz | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 118.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vitality | 79c | 117.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed TheMongolz | 44c | 114.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed TheMongolz | 44c | 113.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed TheMongolz | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…3676backed TheMongolz | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +56%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed TheMongolz | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz | 26c | 110.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Vitality | 80c | 106.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TheMongolz | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…bda1backed Vitality | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…1aecbacked Vitality | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…2a5ebacked Vitality | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…687bbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 90.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Vitality | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Vitality | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Vitality | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality | 58c | 86.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vitality | 66c | 81.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…096dbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TheMongolz | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.