CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb66b672e3240a6b121e0803f95786d18be79a90dd81db4a7d106b4424058379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,786 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Under | 80c | 24,985$19,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.35 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 16,602$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.02 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 22c | 11,089$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.16 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 61c | 1,779$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.36 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 23c | 983.8$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.82 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Under | 58c | 861.07$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.22 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 51c | 548.88$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.58 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 32c | 532.76$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 38c | 520.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Under | 79c | 508.26$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Under | 68c | 442.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.13 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 61c | 420.08$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.75 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 59c | 331$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 243.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 64c | 226.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…972ebacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Over | 30c | 167.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 63c | 160.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…ae12backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…12c1backed Over | 40c | 129.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 44c | 123$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 42c | 119.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 37c | 101.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 446 | 43.5%194 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 99.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 41c | 96.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…cb82backed Under | 78c | 90.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 39c | 90.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 37c | 86.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…fb0dbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Under | 73c | 75.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 32c | 63.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…dc9ebacked Under | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Over | 30c | 58.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 79c | 57.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 22c | 55.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 37c | 53.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 60c | 53.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 41c | 50.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Over | 43c | 49.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 618 | 54.9%339 W · 279 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Over | 52c | 47.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 73c | 45.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Under | 77c | 39.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 339 | 69.9%237 W · 102 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 45c | 37.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 39c | 36.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…a700backed Over | 56c | 35.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 41c | 29.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under | 66c | 28.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 76c | 28.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 47c | 27.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…0099backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 73c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 64c | 24.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4a…d57ebacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Under | 71c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…17c9backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…f731backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 79c | 16.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.