CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs struggletony (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0008b15108500b4796b4133efbdd7405511195fe285fe91d9aea3ff7cbdfb59a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- struggletonyof Tricked, struggletony
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,318 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f72…a8dbbacked struggletony | 34c | 2,600$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…c0f6backed Tricked | 66c | 2,600$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2670…da88backed Tricked | 60c | 2,599$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…3260backed struggletony | 40c | 2,599$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…3c28backed struggletony | 35c | 2,590$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…2fbabacked Tricked | 65c | 2,590$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tricked | 67c | 2,443$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.44 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tricked | 65c | 976.6$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.5 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Tricked | 2c | 834.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Tricked | 2c | 782.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed struggletony | 38c | 704.32$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.91 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Tricked | 45c | 560.77$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.61 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked struggletony | 64c | 556$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.18 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked struggletony | 34c | 454.87$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.72 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed struggletony | 32c | 357.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.24 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…dbfabacked Tricked | 67c | 345.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked struggletony | 33c | 304$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.68 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked struggletony | 33c | 281$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.27 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked | 39c | 270.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Tricked | 68c | 262.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tricked | 6c | 217.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked struggletony | 34c | 208$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed struggletony | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed struggletony | 31c | 187.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed struggletony | 33c | 149.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed struggletony | 32c | 121.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked struggletony | 66c | 120.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed struggletony | 33c | 119.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked struggletony | 32c | 111$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed struggletony | 35c | 105.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked struggletony | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked struggletony | 35c | 94.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked struggletony | 33c | 91.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed struggletony | 32c | 81.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked struggletony | 35c | 77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed struggletony | 31c | 62.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Tricked | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed struggletony | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed struggletony | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Tricked | 29c | 47.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Tricked | 68c | 41.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Tricked | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Tricked | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed struggletony | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked struggletony | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed struggletony | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked struggletony | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.