CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Sashi Esport (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fe8529b62857d71f3fbe84d2647dbb67547b80070da8d1d1b3a4a58587824f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof Team Nemesis, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,778 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Sashi Esport | 59c | 2,121$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.72 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…e42cbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,919$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.14 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ec…70a5backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 889.02$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.59 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Sashi Esport | 60c | 753.36$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.36 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Sashi Esport | 59c | 654$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.14 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 594.51$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 576.84$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Sashi Esport | 59c | 502$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.37 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Sashi Esport | 59c | 423.31$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Sashi Esport | 60c | 315$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 266.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…9c04backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 214.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -68%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 209.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Sashi Esport | 61c | 113$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Sashi Esport | 59c | 101.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…7044backed Sashi Esport | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Sashi Esport | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…ae9ebacked Sashi Esport | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…2bd9backed Sashi Esport | 60c | 66.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Sashi Esport | 76c | 43.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 39.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed Sashi Esport | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…4c34backed Sashi Esport | 60c | 21.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Sashi Esport | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Sashi Esport (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.