Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5cdfb0329df99e45443d854ed99e465662e0a67c3517bb70a1573ee4615605f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Shpilitof Inner Circle, Team Shpilit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x756f…e392backed Team Shpilit | 66c | 2,995$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Shpilit | 62c | 1,847$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.42 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Inner Circle | 38c | 1,779$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.76 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Shpilit | 50c | 1,539$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.36 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…abbebacked Team Shpilit | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…ebfbbacked Team Shpilit | 39c | 1,125$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…2756backed Inner Circle | 25c | 987$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…4effbacked Inner Circle | 61c | 898$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Shpilit | 54c | 850.42$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Inner Circle | 41c | 820.52$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…dd2fbacked Inner Circle | 66c | 786$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Inner Circle | 37c | 780$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Inner Circle | 38c | 677.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…d2f0backed Inner Circle | 61c | 655$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team Shpilit | 45c | 603$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.97 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Shpilit | 62c | 592.93$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.59 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Team Shpilit | 31c | 553$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked Inner Circle | 37c | 505.41$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…87b1backed Inner Circle | 66c | 455$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Shpilit | 60c | 440.86$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.77 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…4559backed Team Shpilit | 75c | 438.16$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…1c1dbacked Team Shpilit | 39c | 427.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed Inner Circle | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Inner Circle | 66c | 401.6$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6133…be6bbacked Team Shpilit | 75c | 401$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…7f98backed Inner Circle | 40c | 343.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Shpilit | 63c | 316.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 311.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Shpilit | 39c | 311.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Inner Circle | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…be40backed Team Shpilit | 43c | 297.09$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…f993backed Team Shpilit | 75c | 295$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…b914backed Inner Circle | 25c | 262$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Shpilit | 37c | 259.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Inner Circle | 67c | 239.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Shpilit | 37c | 237.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Inner Circle | 44c | 227.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed Inner Circle | 69c | 226.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…3906backed Inner Circle | 38c | 224.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Shpilit | 31c | 184$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Shpilit | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Shpilit | 63c | 170.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Inner Circle | 67c | 163.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Team Shpilit | 33c | 163.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Inner Circle | 55c | 159.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Inner Circle | 48c | 158.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…93a9backed Inner Circle | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Team Shpilit | 67c | 149.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Inner Circle | 67c | 148.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Inner Circle | 40c | 148.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Inner Circle | 67c | 147.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Shpilit | 62c | 144.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Inner Circle | 69c | 128.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…4f83backed Team Shpilit | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…0608backed Team Shpilit | 75c | 109$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Team Shpilit | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Shpilit | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Inner Circle | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…31e4backed Team Shpilit | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Inner Circle | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Team Shpilit | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Shpilit | 43c | 92.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Team Shpilit | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed Team Shpilit | 63c | 88.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Inner Circle | 65c | 77.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Shpilit | 50c | 73.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Inner Circle | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…60d1backed Team Shpilit | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Team Shpilit | 48c | 64.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Inner Circle | 58c | 63.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Inner Circle | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Inner Circle | 53c | 57.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Team Shpilit | 63c | 55.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Team Shpilit | 61c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Inner Circle | 26c | 53.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…dc77backed Inner Circle | 58c | 51.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Inner Circle | 56c | 49.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Inner Circle | 62c | 48.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Team Shpilit | 42c | 47.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Inner Circle | 37c | 47.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Inner Circle | 45c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Inner Circle | 50c | 41.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Inner Circle | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Team Shpilit | 64c | 40.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Team Shpilit | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Inner Circle | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…47e9backed Team Shpilit | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Inner Circle | 62c | 37.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…7f1dbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Inner Circle | 37c | 33.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…5ca7backed Inner Circle | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Team Shpilit | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Inner Circle | 67c | 30.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Inner Circle | 52c | 29.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…55a7backed Team Shpilit | 61c | 27.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Inner Circle | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…d574backed Inner Circle | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Team Shpilit | 46c | 23.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Team Shpilit | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…643ebacked Team Shpilit | 74c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Shpilit won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Shpilit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.