Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x590c3b1112b60dcc78f4be65cca82cb9bd6dab134324f11f5eea833002b00b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof VP.Prodigy, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,432 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy | 0c | 3,700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked VP.Prodigy | 9c | 2,500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked VP.Prodigy | 37c | 1,928$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.75 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked VP.Prodigy | 40c | 1,299$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked VP.Prodigy | 25c | 1,113$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.98 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 758$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 566.68$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.34 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 500.77$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 434.46$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…6311backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 424$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 415.33$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.93 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 400$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 389.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 252.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 213.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 211.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 207.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 202.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 177.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 161.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 158.54$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 154.22$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa2…5ab6backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 144$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e30…f399backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked VP.Prodigy | 30c | 119.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 116.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…e639backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…8d6ebacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…746ebacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 68.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 65.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…92febacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 56.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 50.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…f3f1backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd732…1368backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2156…1cafbacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 32.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…4684backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d98…46b8backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…ed15backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 27.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…bd4bbacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 21.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 21.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 17.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3d…c12abacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.