TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,832 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Yes28c71,268$19,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,755.8955955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed No72c27,651$19,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,740.326435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb187…bbe1backed No72c27,000$19,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,525.323253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No73c15,017$10,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.641,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Yes28c15,000$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,169.997052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed Yes1c7,417$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6148035.4%170 W · 310 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes20c7,362$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.762,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Yes1c5,465$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9724323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Yes0c4,834$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9411244.6%50 W · 62 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No73c3,396$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.8190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes19c3,254$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.646440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1224…62fbbacked Yes3c3,073$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.391338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed Yes3c2,873$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514335%50 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Yes30c2,763$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.059535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes1c2,668$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.185928.8%17 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed Yes3c2,651$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.014214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes35c2,383$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.424139%16 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes20c2,060$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.9394134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e46…16a5backed Yes28c2,000$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5546541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63dc…9644backed Yes3c1,700$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.911020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cde…fcf5backed Yes2c1,660$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,422$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3989810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed No72c1,280$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.555139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8425…be0abacked Yes29c1,235$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.717345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…d54ebacked Yes1c1,200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Yes1c1,146$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6840347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecf…5716backed Yes28c1,067$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+83.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Yes3c1,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9517561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa77b…29a8backed Yes3c999.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes5c972.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.156627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Yes10c899.97$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.929758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15a…9c74backed Yes7c895.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed Yes34c874.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Yes32c800$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7374462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x552a…8b24backed No74c678.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.74862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Yes37c674.92$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17486649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Yes36c590$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3456341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae49…4623backed Yes2c577.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5b…3772backed Yes3c557.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-64.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed Yes20c508.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10077545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Yes20c502.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked No71c500$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No73c448.67$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0586144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes30c435$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.722334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351a…f836backed Yes3c429.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1816863.7%107 W · 61 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Yes4c422.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158767.8%59 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes3c408.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Yes40c403.43$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.431,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x663a…5c51backed Yes28c399.98$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…d4aebacked Yes36c375$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1310758.9%63 W · 44 L+10.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c369.82$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.822,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…189abacked Yes28c359.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12dd…d50ebacked Yes4c349.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes4c347.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1347933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…be65backed Yes29c347.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d39…81f7backed Yes29c344.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf094…5290backed Yes19c336.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.568330.1%25 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed Yes52c327.71$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.534844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ec…d09cbacked Yes4c325.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.398629.1%25 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58af…6c46backed Yes32c312.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc304…d362backed Yes37c301.22$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.730139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes31c290.79$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2234151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a5…b734backed Yes30c290$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.841442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed No73c275.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.862661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes23c267.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Yes16c266.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.478535.3%30 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes6c265.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518951.3%97 W · 92 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes31c243.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4144128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13f…3de9backed Yes32c241.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.346160.7%37 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c229.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.972,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc761…4fc8backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4091…10e2backed Yes30c169.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.261457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…6771backed Yes30c167.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9f…d159backed Yes29c142.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3643…46a5backed Yes35c140.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…73e5backed Yes36c140.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No72c139.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2734945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0be…6457backed Yes28c135.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3870…4fc3backed Yes35c134.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.628831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2156…b735backed Yes22c133.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.37825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0de1…916dbacked Yes13c119.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510360.2%62 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b8…e3e1backed No77c117.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No72c109.21$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa384…f5e9backed Yes30c108.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf978…cf69backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.017736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd59b…3ce2backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf75d…4a96backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282425%6 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e24…8266backed Yes32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215135.1%53 W · 98 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb32…ac4ebacked Yes33c90.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4de1…25c0backed Yes34c89.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6824…bc2dbacked Yes28c71.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bd…e9fabacked Yes34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Yes34c66.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8962150.6%314 W · 307 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb79a…090cbacked Yes30c66.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7c86…19ecbacked Yes30c64.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes27c64.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.711,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7c38…56abbacked Yes29c62.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…f978backed Yes33c60.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.