Lol · resolved market
Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ceb54e067ef2786a1677bda304af791a985674fcbb20b11fdc90708360f88a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,005 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked No | 27c | 71,913$19,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,704.47 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…5503backed No | 17c | 46,584$8,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,077.7 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Yes | 72c | 15,685$11,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.31 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 71c | 7,456$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.01 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…7d7fbacked No | 29c | 7,031$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.09 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Yes | 71c | 5,638$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.46 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 71c | 5,542$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.07 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 70c | 4,310$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.38 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Yes | 21c | 4,309$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.75 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3d…34efbacked Yes | 72c | 4,250$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.95 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 70c | 3,789$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.8 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Yes | 19c | 3,627$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.33 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 33c | 3,039$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.34 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…c00cbacked Yes | 73c | 2,928$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 39c | 2,489$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.72 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,325$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.75 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Yes | 18c | 2,155$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.02 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a2…7cbbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,075$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.81 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…3845backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Yes | 18c | 1,843$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.48 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Yes | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.97 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552a…8b24backed Yes | 72c | 1,532$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Yes | 72c | 1,420$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.62 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 29c | 1,298$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.78 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 1,204$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,077$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.83 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Yes | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…b36dbacked Yes | 70c | 899.98$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bf…addbbacked Yes | 72c | 878.97$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4f…b60cbacked Yes | 73c | 844.79$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0c6cbacked Yes | 73c | 831.19$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…d916backed Yes | 73c | 812.67$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…7edcbacked Yes | 73c | 798.03$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8425…be0abacked Yes | 65c | 750.54$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.87 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked Yes | 67c | 724.29$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.54 | 538 | 29.9%161 W · 377 L | -19.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…d2dcbacked Yes | 22c | 674.35$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 75c | 673.82$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…6de6backed Yes | 58c | 650$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 15c | 638.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…0fccbacked Yes | 26c | 631.69$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.36 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…c6c1backed Yes | 18c | 540.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…5225backed Yes | 19c | 517.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.04 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 28c | 511.03$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 18c | 509.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.34 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…aa71backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 463.73$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 16c | 416.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.53 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Yes | 30c | 404.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.55 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 71c | 347.57$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 31c | 325.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes | 65c | 305.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.99 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 17c | 290.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.64 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1224…62fbbacked Yes | 19c | 284.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 277.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.54 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…0586backed Yes | 71c | 263.17$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 255$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…431cbacked Yes | 68c | 252.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 201 | 71.1%143 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…ebc1backed Yes | 17c | 252.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…418ebacked Yes | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Yes | 17c | 250$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Yes | 19c | 228.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…8520backed Yes | 22c | 227.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Yes | 16c | 225$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 73c | 221.37$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…53afbacked Yes | 40c | 220.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Yes | 19c | 217.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…eb41backed Yes | 22c | 204.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 52c | 201.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…3de9backed Yes | 24c | 201.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.41 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…d7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Yes | 48c | 199.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…f78bbacked Yes | 15c | 186.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…a231backed Yes | 66c | 180.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…755fbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077e…1fb0backed Yes | 24c | 167.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 36c | 161.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 29c | 158$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 22c | 157.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…69eebacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked No | 39c | 154.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked No | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…1cddbacked Yes | 73c | 149.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa121…c5f4backed Yes | 68c | 148.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 32c | 146.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…b63fbacked Yes | 19c | 145.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 57c | 144$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…f191backed Yes | 21c | 138.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…8f04backed Yes | 72c | 138.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…0b9cbacked Yes | 54c | 131.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…9a5ebacked Yes | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc580…355bbacked Yes | 70c | 126.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 53c | 126.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 80c | 122.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 55c | 121.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…e90bbacked Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?this page
- Will BNK FEARX win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will JD Gaming win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will LOUD win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will LYON win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will Team Secret Whales win First Stand 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.