Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x181351aa17b365102e00ade1cde16416a315a7866424a6ad57e6745117fdf91b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,626 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 6,220$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.19 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 5,952$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yellow Submarine | 11c | 4,012$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.28 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 1,985$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.7 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 1,854$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.58 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 1,782$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 1,508$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 1,434$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.09 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 1,398$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.17 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 1,398$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 1,204$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 1,180$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…00febacked Yellow Submarine | 17c | 1,100$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…018abacked Yellow Submarine | 8c | 945$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed Yellow Submarine | 7c | 935.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 876.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yellow Submarine | 16c | 717$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed Yellow Submarine | 6c | 716.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 678$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…94b3backed Yellow Submarine | 3c | 563.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…1b1cbacked Yellow Submarine | 9c | 526$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yellow Submarine | 8c | 511.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 499.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…6fe9backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 484$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…d06bbacked Yellow Submarine | 8c | 469$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…404dbacked Yellow Submarine | 9c | 448$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…8b3ebacked Yellow Submarine | 9c | 420$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine | 11c | 393.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…90d3backed Yellow Submarine | 7c | 389$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x921b…9793backed Yellow Submarine | 12c | 358$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yellow Submarine | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…8527backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 346.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 316.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yellow Submarine | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5e…fcd0backed Yellow Submarine | 9c | 261$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 241$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yellow Submarine | 13c | 229.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…7babbacked Yellow Submarine | 8c | 223$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yellow Submarine | 10c | 210.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…fa53backed Yellow Submarine | 8c | 205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9c…ca4fbacked Yellow Submarine | 8c | 197$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…f709backed Yellow Submarine | 9c | 196$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…7a16backed Yellow Submarine | 9c | 196$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…4568backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 195.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yellow Submarine | 18c | 191.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…f2f9backed Yellow Submarine | 8c | 189$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 161.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Yellow Submarine | 16c | 153.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Yellow Submarine | 11c | 149.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yellow Submarine | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444d…4538backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 99.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Yellow Submarine | 17c | 86.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 73.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 68.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Yellow Submarine | 16c | 64.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.