TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0dd…fa53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.6
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs yngods (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group Dbacked yngods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$184.23
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Playoffsbacked SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.45
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$69.12
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.22
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.31
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$18.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.36
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$23
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$45.15
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.32
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.08
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$86.19
All 6 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$53.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.