Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs AVULUS (BO3) - CCT Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec54f5a6bb1ed8f4c7e47184d6e7c6b3e217a95b8a2bd187aed6ae94c514b35e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AVULUSof NAVI Junior, AVULUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,165 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed NAVI Junior | 2c | 19,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…a8dbbacked AVULUS | 66c | 2,589$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…c0f6backed NAVI Junior | 34c | 2,589$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f52…e9fdbacked NAVI Junior | 10c | 1,888$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…4764backed AVULUS | 76c | 1,464$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…018abacked NAVI Junior | 24c | 1,464$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked NAVI Junior | 10c | 1,231$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked NAVI Junior | 26c | 1,128$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb814…847dbacked NAVI Junior | 16c | 965$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…5f08backed NAVI Junior | 16c | 959$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…286ebacked NAVI Junior | 7c | 959$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed80…214dbacked NAVI Junior | 15c | 786$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NAVI Junior | 6c | 771.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…a524backed NAVI Junior | 9c | 751$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b56…ee03backed NAVI Junior | 7c | 705$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dd…776fbacked NAVI Junior | 7c | 669.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acf…92bebacked NAVI Junior | 7c | 646.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed AVULUS | 80c | 631.19$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4a…9893backed NAVI Junior | 9c | 573$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked NAVI Junior | 20c | 551.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…5269backed NAVI Junior | 15c | 549$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…4519backed NAVI Junior | 15c | 524$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…600abacked NAVI Junior | 14c | 510$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…6e88backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 444$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8525backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 442$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked NAVI Junior | 20c | 430.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d5…30a8backed NAVI Junior | 14c | 414$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed AVULUS | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…0a56backed NAVI Junior | 22c | 359$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…fa53backed NAVI Junior | 24c | 292$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed NAVI Junior | 4c | 280$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…5c2fbacked NAVI Junior | 15c | 276$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…f97cbacked NAVI Junior | 22c | 273$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…90d3backed AVULUS | 78c | 245$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 238.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…ad90backed NAVI Junior | 14c | 236$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…760dbacked NAVI Junior | 25c | 226$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed NAVI Junior | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…ccc7backed NAVI Junior | 24c | 203$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3b44backed NAVI Junior | 22c | 202$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NAVI Junior | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked NAVI Junior | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed NAVI Junior | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…ce73backed AVULUS | 72c | 189$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…10cabacked AVULUS | 76c | 186$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked NAVI Junior | 25c | 184$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…09e2backed NAVI Junior | 28c | 178$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339c…99a9backed NAVI Junior | 26c | 166$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NAVI Junior | 7c | 154.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…e54bbacked NAVI Junior | 26c | 154$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked NAVI Junior | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed NAVI Junior | 22c | 149.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked AVULUS | 71c | 149.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…e600backed AVULUS | 78c | 149$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NAVI Junior | 14c | 147.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…5700backed NAVI Junior | 28c | 147$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…177dbacked AVULUS | 76c | 140.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked AVULUS | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…cfebbacked AVULUS | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e679backed AVULUS | 75c | 127$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…5d52backed AVULUS | 78c | 124$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed NAVI Junior | 13c | 118.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…41b8backed AVULUS | 78c | 114$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…4e34backed AVULUS | 76c | 106$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…928abacked AVULUS | 72c | 106$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…a11abacked AVULUS | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b29…9fe0backed AVULUS | 78c | 104$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked NAVI Junior | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…9d9cbacked AVULUS | 75c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…e862backed AVULUS | 78c | 98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…97eabacked AVULUS | 76c | 97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed NAVI Junior | 25c | 96.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7078…2210backed AVULUS | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…627cbacked AVULUS | 72c | 92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956d…564ebacked AVULUS | 78c | 82.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…ddb1backed NAVI Junior | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…b529backed NAVI Junior | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…3302backed NAVI Junior | 20c | 73.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed NAVI Junior | 14c | 72.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed AVULUS | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed AVULUS | 65c | 59.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06c…c231backed AVULUS | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…c352backed NAVI Junior | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9c31backed AVULUS | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…1270backed NAVI Junior | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed AVULUS | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed AVULUS | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…0a04backed AVULUS | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…5a64backed AVULUS | 75c | 33.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed AVULUS | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…7f1dbacked AVULUS | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed AVULUS | 79c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed AVULUS | 78c | 20.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed AVULUS | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked AVULUS | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs AVULUS (BO3) - CCT Group Athis page
- Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs AVULUS - Game 1 WinnerAVULUS won
- Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs AVULUS - Game 2 WinnerNAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.