TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e6a…5a64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2684.6%22 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.05
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$71.4
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69%+$13.81
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$58.64
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.14
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.94
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$86.25
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.6
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$39.22
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.83
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.25
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$45.52
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+45.9%+$52.41
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$14.47
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$16.13
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.5%+$19.48
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$27.09
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.78
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$42.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$79.17
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$69.49
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.75
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.5%+$45.87
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$16.43
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$53.08
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$23.73
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.63
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.1%+$43.87
All 22 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$23.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.