Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb5f4d92357e0a8890f307215df5ded5c653418d0b05b46233294ba6fd2ef6f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Top Esports | 56c | 14,618$8,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,435.77 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team WE | 44c | 13,111$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768.84 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Team WE | 45c | 3,178$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.97 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team WE | 44c | 2,353$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.76 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…2d0fbacked Top Esports | 55c | 2,230$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Top Esports | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 829 | 54.5%452 W · 377 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Team WE | 44c | 1,145$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.65 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Top Esports | 55c | 803.48$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.57 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…9773backed Top Esports | 57c | 718.15$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team WE | 42c | 687.31$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.67 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Team WE | 46c | 497.21$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.62 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Top Esports | 53c | 430.13$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Team WE | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Top Esports | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Top Esports | 54c | 340$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Top Esports | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…83acbacked Team WE | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Top Esports | 53c | 189.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Top Esports | 58c | 173.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Top Esports | 52c | 173.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1a…6049backed Top Esports | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team WE | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Team WE | 45c | 144$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…ac84backed Team WE | 36c | 139.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Top Esports | 64c | 131.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team WE | 44c | 123.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Team WE | 48c | 104.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Team WE | 48c | 104.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Top Esports | 52c | 95.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Top Esports | 58c | 86.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team WE | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Top Esports | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…5a64backed Top Esports | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Top Esports | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…4224backed Top Esports | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Team WE | 46c | 39.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Top Esports | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Top Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Top Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Top Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…726ebacked Top Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…a356backed Top Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Top Esports | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Top Esports | 53c | 31.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Top Esports | 55c | 24.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Team WE | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Top Esports | 75c | 13.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.