Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18b3ce9b7fc30af9ec2f0c5e94ff3f7294e0ae707e3c5351ffd731b5519df2d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,061 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 13,446$10,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.04 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 8,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yellow Submarine | 23c | 4,366$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.89 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 12c | 2,226$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 2,024$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.14 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yellow Submarine | 10c | 1,799$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 19c | 1,539$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.93 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 1,175$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 961.67$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Yellow Submarine | 21c | 773.49$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Yellow Submarine | 7c | 715$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 682.04$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 4c | 640$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 640$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 618.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 599$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 511.76$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…ef63backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cbf0backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…81f2backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 480$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 480$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 440.46$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 430$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 430$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Yellow Submarine | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…2b82backed Yellow Submarine | 7c | 368.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 360.56$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 290.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 269.13$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Yellow Submarine | 5c | 256.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 249.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 192.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked Yellow Submarine | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 166.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 163.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 160.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…b408backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 158.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 149.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 130.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…b8bcbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 128.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 118.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…58c2backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 113.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 104.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 102.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 100.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…eababacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Yellow Submarine | 25c | 86.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yellow Submarine | 21c | 82.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 82.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 71.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 68.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yellow Submarine | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…7bfbbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 47.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yellow Submarine | 22c | 46.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…570cbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 40.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…1591backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 33.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BetBoom Team | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…873bbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 24.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.