Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbad3d8c06de864e759d8edbef1a5a47b178380f7c541aa4cf480a808b7cabf27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,380 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 79,558$18,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,837.57 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 72,641$55,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,111.02 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Yellow Submarine | 0c | 32,335$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 23,625$18,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.32 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Yellow Submarine | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 15c | 3,062$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.85 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 2,928$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.26 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yellow Submarine | 23c | 2,318$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.69 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yellow Submarine | 1c | 2,170$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 2,041$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.16 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 2,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Yellow Submarine | 2c | 1,919$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 1,843$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.89 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 1,800$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 1,130$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.4 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 1,036$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.2 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 719.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 397$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 375.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 350.65$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 339.79$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 336.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 7c | 300.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Yellow Submarine | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 282.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…58c2backed Yellow Submarine | 19c | 271.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 260.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Yellow Submarine | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 224.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Yellow Submarine | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…467bbacked Yellow Submarine | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 182.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 23c | 162.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8d3dbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 138.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 129.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 108.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 93.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 83.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 72.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 63.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 60.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 60.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked Yellow Submarine | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…570cbacked BetBoom Team | 76c | 41.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 40.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yellow Submarine | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 39.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BetBoom Team | 74c | 29.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…873bbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9f0abacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…7a08backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 17.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.