Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc13c4b671e5f85ddb9f773aa4ba6d252d2ca1559125089d208060eea7f7efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 38c | 43,544$16,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,879.21 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 41,292$23,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,751.88 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked MOUZ | 52c | 20,274$10,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,632.54 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 16,075$9,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,956.06 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 8,895$5,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425.96 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 7,403$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.29 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 6,216$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.84 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 5,979$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.85 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 4,293$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.41 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 3,556$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.96 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ | 40c | 3,060$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.47 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 61c | 3,058$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.24 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 2,868$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.84 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 44c | 2,777$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,471$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.84 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,327$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.25 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 2,231$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.83 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed MOUZ | 35c | 2,143$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,068$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.6 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,997$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,592$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.97 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,500$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 31c | 1,398$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.96 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,300$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.82 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,218$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.5 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,123$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.91 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked MOUZ | 36c | 1,055$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.9 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,000$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ | 42c | 953.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.91 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 909.57$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.84 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 46c | 600$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.07 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 585.11$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.92 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed MOUZ | 37c | 538.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.83 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 39c | 533.9$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.45 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked MOUZ | 38c | 531.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.58 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…2c15backed MOUZ | 59c | 511.42$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 511.14$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.57 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 428.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 413.85$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ | 74c | 407.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed MOUZ | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 395.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 393$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 388.51$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 41c | 386.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed MOUZ | 39c | 385.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 372.66$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.14 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 371.92$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.41 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 35c | 364.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.21 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 43c | 347.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.56 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 346.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 319.73$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…edebbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 318.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 316.63$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked MOUZ | 32c | 300$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed MOUZ | 38c | 264.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked MOUZ | 35c | 245.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked MOUZ | 39c | 235.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ | 43c | 231.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 224.41$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 210$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…5503backed MOUZ | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Tundra Esports | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed MOUZ | 38c | 197$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 196.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…1a38backed MOUZ | 52c | 192.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed MOUZ | 38c | 189.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…1333backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 187.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Tundra Esports | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 175.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed MOUZ | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 170.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked MOUZ | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 163.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.