Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4669b8a2974e842a65b1c43d70ab9184ae25e7e6949f3b7062f04e9fc017eb54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof MOUZ, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 23,392$16,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,314.41 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 47c | 10,956$5,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,196.8 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 30c | 9,994$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.48 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 31c | 7,500$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.03 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 5,863$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.1 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 5,391$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.53 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 21c | 4,404$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.11 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed MOUZ | 20c | 2,457$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 32c | 2,204$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.37 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 11c | 1,899$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed MOUZ | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,535$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.81 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,441$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.99 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,300$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.18 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,034$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 28c | 987.05$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ | 41c | 974.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 905.61$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.8 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed MOUZ | 34c | 879.41$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 830$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 33c | 748.46$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.82 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 27c | 724.37$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 671.67$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.67 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 541.43$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 488.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked MOUZ | 40c | 433.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ | 39c | 382.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 371.52$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 42c | 359.9$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 358.5$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 39c | 352.77$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked MOUZ | 7c | 352.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked MOUZ | 8c | 309.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 299.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 298.31$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 279.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…2d48backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 252.76$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked MOUZ | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 39c | 236.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed MOUZ | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed MOUZ | 32c | 220.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 213.13$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked MOUZ | 36c | 211.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…3f4abacked MOUZ | 15c | 202.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 198.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 182.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 166.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 34c | 159.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 150.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 149.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 117.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed MOUZ | 18c | 117.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed MOUZ | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked MOUZ | 30c | 99.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 95.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 87.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MOUZ | 14c | 82.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…1b61backed MOUZ | 24c | 74.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…df4cbacked MOUZ | 16c | 74.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…09a8backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 70.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed MOUZ | 45c | 66.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…5e7abacked MOUZ | 23c | 64.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…f2f1backed MOUZ | 30c | 63.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ | 32c | 63.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…e3c8backed MOUZ | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 57.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 56.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 38c | 52.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked MOUZ | 40c | 52.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked MOUZ | 41c | 50.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…6345backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 47.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…1a70backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 39.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…7ed4backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 34.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed MOUZ | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.